Research & Publications
Research is an important addition to our routine tasks as it allows the NIHR Horizon Scanning Centre (NHSC) team and others carrying out early awareness and alert activities to better understand the components of, and methods used in these activities and to learn more about predicting diffusion and impact.
The NHSC has completed research or has research in progress in a number of research themes:
1. Development, marketing, diffusion and impact of new and emerging health technologies
- The role of the pharmaceutical industry in the adoption and diffusion of drugs in the UK (ongoing)
- Linden L, Vondeling H, Packer C, Cook A. Does the National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence only appraise new pharmaceuticals? International Journal of Technology Assessment in Health Care, 2007; 23(3): 349-353; doi: 10.1017/S0266462307070468
- Miles KA, Packer C, Stevens A. Quantifying emerging drugs for very rare conditions. QJM, 2007; 100(5): 291-295.
- Simpson S, Packer C, Stevens A, Raftery J. Predicting the impact of new health technologies on average length of stay: development of a prediction framework. International Journal of Technology Assessment in Health Care, 2005; 21(4): 487-491.
- Packer C, Stevens A, Cook A, Raftery J. Diffusion of thrombolysis for acute myocardial infarction from 1981 to 2000 in England: Trend analysis and comparison with need. International Journal of Technology Assessment in Health Care, 2004; 20(4): 531-536.
- Cook A, Packer C, Stevens A, Quinn T. Influences upon the diffusion of thrombolysis for acute myocardial infarction in England: case study. International Journal of Technology Assessment in Health Care, 2004; 20(4): 537-544.
- Booth-Clibborn N, Packer C, Stevens A. Health technology diffusion rates: statins, coronary stents and MRI in England. International Journal of Technology Assessment in Health Care, 2000;16(3): 781-6.
2. Evaluation and development of early awareness and alert system processes, methods and output
- Packer C, Fung M, Stevens A. Ten years of early awareness and alert activity: Judging success. International Journal of Technology Assessment in Health Care. Submitted for publication 2011.
- Martino OI, Ward DJ, Packer C, Simpson S, Stevens AJ. Innovation and the burden of disease: Retrospective observational study of new and emerging health technologies reported by the EuroScan network from 2000 to 2009. Value in Health, 2012; 15(2): 376-380.
- Smith J, Cook A, Packer C. Evaluation criteria to assess the value of identification sources for horizon scanning. International Journal of Technology Assessment in Health Care, 2010; 26(3): 348-353.
- Fung M, Simpson S, Packer C. Identification of innovation in public health. Journal of Public Health, 2010; doi: 10.1093/pubmed/fdq045
- Murphy K, Packer C, Stevens A, Simpson S. Effective early warning systems for new and emerging health technologies: developing an evaluation framework and an assessment of current systems. International Journal of Technology Assessment in Health Care, 2007; 23(3): 324-330.
- Simpson S, Hyde C, Cook A, Packer C, Stevens A. Assessing the accuracy of forecasting: applying standard diagnostic assessment tools to a health technology early warning system. International Journal of Technology Assessment in Health Care, 2004; 20(3):381-384.
3. Investigating future horizons and changing patterns of care
- Tayo A, Ellis J, Linden Phillips L, Simpson S, Ward DJ. Emerging point of care tests for influenza: innovation or status quo. Influenza and Other Respiratory Viruses, 2011; doi:10.1111/j.1750-2659.2011.00306.x
- Smith J, Cook A, Packer C, Stokes-Lampard H. Testing for Chlamydia trachomatis: is more choice a good thing? Journal of Family Planning and Reproductive Health Care, 2011; 37 (1): 4-7.
4. International work (in collaboration with the EuroScan International Network)
- Simpson S, Hiller J, Gutierrez-Ibarluzea I, Kearney B, Norderhaug I, Fay AF, Packer C. et al. A toolkit for the identification and assessment of new and emerging health technologies. 2009. EuroScan. Birmingham. ISBN: 0704427257 / 9780704427259
- Simpson S, Packer C, Carlson P, Sanders JM, Gutierrez Ibarluzea I, Fay A, Norderhaug I on behalf of the International Network on New and Emerging Health Technologies (EuroScan). Early identification and assessment of new and emerging health technologies: Actions, progress, and the future direction of an international collaboration – EuroScan. International Journal of Technology Assessment in Health Care 2008; 24(4): 518-525.
- Packer C, Simpson S, Stevens A. International diffusion of new health technologies: a ten-country analysis of six health technologies. International Journal of Technology Assessment in Health Care, 2006; 22(4): 419-428.
For further information on any of our research projects please contact:
Dr Sue Simpson: s.l.simpson.20@bham.ac.uk